Forecasting and planning

Test assignments for the discipline "Forecasting and planning

1. Planning and forecasting - tools:
a) state regulation of the economy;
b) state management of socio-economic processes;
c) state regulation of socio-economic processes;
d) state management of the economy.
2. The forecast is a preplanned development of multivariate models for the development of the control object.
a) true;
b) wrong.
3. Forecasting is the process of preparing a management decision
a) true;
b) wrong.
4. The principles of forecasting are:
a) a set of methods and techniques by which the development and justification of forecasts is ensured;
b) a system of ideas about the sequence and validity of actions, stages of calculations associated with the development of forecasts;
c) the main starting points, rules for the formation, justification and organization of the development of forecasts;
d) a set of interrelated indicators characterizing the forecasting object.
5. If the forecasting process takes into account the probabilistic nature of the development of an object and its individual components as a result of the impact of random processes and deviations while maintaining the stability of the predicted trends, then the principle is observed:
a) adaptability;
b) alternatives;
c) adequacy;
d) targeting.
6. The list of basic requirements for the initial information for forecasting includes:
a) reliability;
b) sufficiency and complexity;
c) consistency;
d) comparability.
7. Data characterizing the goals of the forecast and the conditions in which the development of the predicted object will proceed is information:
a) regulatory reference;
b) socio-economic;
c) the forecast situation;
d) feedback.
8. Forecasting methods according to the degree of formalization are divided into:
a) expert methods and modeling methods;
b) intuitive and formalized;
c) factual, combined, expert;
d) leading methods, analogy methods, statistical methods.
9. The economic model is not:
a) the ideal type of economy or politics for which we must work;
b) a tool for economic forecasts;
c) a set of economic principles;
d) an explanation of how the economy functions, its individual sectors.
10. A systematic approach to modeling assumes:
a) a sequential transition from the general to the particular, moreover, the object under study is separated from the environment and, based on a separate set of initial data, the goal is to model a separate side of the system's functioning;
b) a consistent transition from the particular to the general, when the goal is the basis of consideration;
c) a sequential transition from the general to the particular, when the goal is at the heart of the consideration, and the object under study stands out from the environment.
11. To determine the main development trend of the object, you can use:
a) moving average method;
b) the method of point extrapolation;
c) a method for finding the confidence interval.
12. Which method of smoothing the time series leads to its significant reduction:
a) enlargement of the time series interval;
b) moving average method;
c) analytical alignment of a number of dynamics.
13. If the general conditions that determine the development trend of the object in the past change significantly, then:
a) it is necessary to determine not a point, but an interval forecast;
b) the results of extrapolation may differ materially from the actual;
c) the choice of the type of function for aligning the series should be based on the finite difference method.