Forecasting and planning in public and municipal
Replenishment date: 23.06.2023
Content: Forecasting and planning in state and municipal management.pdf (298.19 KB)
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Description
1. The main distinguishing feature of the modern market economic system is?
*Active influence of the state on the development of the national economy
*Lack of state influence on the development of the national economy
*Minimum impact of the state on the development of the national economy
* The market system does not imply government intervention in the economy
2. The annual dynamics of the company's profit is described by a model of the form yt=131*1,015^t. According to the model, the average annual growth rate of the company's profit was:
*31%;
*131%;
*15%;
*1,5%;
*101,5%.
3. Dividing the cost of goods and services in the current period by an index reflecting the change in prices for goods and services in the current period compared to the prices of the previous year is the method used for revaluation:
* extensions
*extrapolations
*discounting
* deflation
4. Dynamics of the average annual number of economically active population in the period from 2011-2022 It is described by a model of the form y=70,5-1,6t. According to this model, the economically active population:
*on average decreased annually by 70,7 million people per year;
*increased on average by 1,6 million people per month;
* on average decreased by 1,6 million people per year;
*on average increased annually by 70,7 million people per year.
5. The following indicators are used for planning and forecasting economic growth?
*Absolute figures
*Relative indicators
*Average
*Scorecard
6. Is it necessary to predict economic growth?
*Measure economic growth by ordinal
*Measure economic growth by nominal
*Measure economic growth with a quantitative indicator
*Measure economic growth with an alternative measure
7. The quarterly dynamics of the bank's interest rate is presented in the table.
The bank's interest rate forecast for the sixth quarter, calculated using average absolute growth, is:
*11,1%;
*11,3%;
*10,9%;
*11,6%.
*Active influence of the state on the development of the national economy
*Lack of state influence on the development of the national economy
*Minimum impact of the state on the development of the national economy
* The market system does not imply government intervention in the economy
2. The annual dynamics of the company's profit is described by a model of the form yt=131*1,015^t. According to the model, the average annual growth rate of the company's profit was:
*31%;
*131%;
*15%;
*1,5%;
*101,5%.
3. Dividing the cost of goods and services in the current period by an index reflecting the change in prices for goods and services in the current period compared to the prices of the previous year is the method used for revaluation:
* extensions
*extrapolations
*discounting
* deflation
4. Dynamics of the average annual number of economically active population in the period from 2011-2022 It is described by a model of the form y=70,5-1,6t. According to this model, the economically active population:
*on average decreased annually by 70,7 million people per year;
*increased on average by 1,6 million people per month;
* on average decreased by 1,6 million people per year;
*on average increased annually by 70,7 million people per year.
5. The following indicators are used for planning and forecasting economic growth?
*Absolute figures
*Relative indicators
*Average
*Scorecard
6. Is it necessary to predict economic growth?
*Measure economic growth by ordinal
*Measure economic growth by nominal
*Measure economic growth with a quantitative indicator
*Measure economic growth with an alternative measure
7. The quarterly dynamics of the bank's interest rate is presented in the table.
The bank's interest rate forecast for the sixth quarter, calculated using average absolute growth, is:
*11,1%;
*11,3%;
*10,9%;
*11,6%.
Additional Information
9. For the year, output was CU500, net taxes CU20, intermediate consumption CU70, final consumption CU380, gross capital formation CU50. What is net exports?* 20
* 450
* 430
*-Ten
10. What forecasting methods are based on the use of the mathematical apparatus ...?
*Intuitive forecasting methods
*Methods of collective expert assessments
*Formalized forecasting methods
*Methods of individual expert assessments
11. What variables are dependent when building a forecast using an econometric model?
*Exogenous
*Endogenous
*Predefined
*Lag
12. What type of balance refers to the balance of material resources?
*Payment balance
*Consolidated balance of labor resources
*Fuel and energy balance
*Balance of monetary expenditures and incomes of the population
13. Which method is not a planning method?
*Balance method
*Method of standards and norms
*Program-targeted method
*Analytical method
*Optimization method
14. What forecast is intended to describe possible or desirable prospects, states of the future?
*Managerial (normative)
* Cognitive (search)
*All predictions
*Long term forecasts
15. What forecast involves the use of information about the future when making decisions?
*Managerial (normative)
* Cognitive (search)
*All predictions
*Long term forecasts
16. Classify SNA accounts. Match the item to the corresponding category by selecting an option from the list:
A. Savings accounts
B. Current accounts
C. Revaluation Account
D. Redistribution of income in kind account
E. Capital account
F. Generation of income account
G. Production account
17. The linear trend of the quarterly number of restaurant visitors is described by an equation of the form yt = 5400 + 408t, where t is the quarter number starting from the 1st quarter of 2020. The theoretical value of the number of visitors in the 2nd quarter of 2023 , calculated by the trend equation, will be:
* 11112
* 5808
* 6216
* 10296
18. The linear trend of the quarterly number of restaurant visitors is described by an equation of the form yt = 5400 + 408t and means that the number of restaurant visitors increases on average quarterly by:
*5400+408 people;
*5400 people;
*408%;
*408 people
19. Macroeconomic planning and forecasting is...?
*The task of state regulation of the economy
*The task of the state
*State function
*Function of subjects of the economy
20. The extrapolation method in forecasting involves ...?
*Propagation of trends in the past and present to the future
* Extending future trends to the present
*Finding forecast values within the analyzed period of time
*Propagation of trends in the present to the future
21. Planning methodology is...?
*System of principles, indicators, techniques and methods for the development and justification of planned decisions
*System of statistical indicators and methods for developing forecasts
*System of principles, indicators, techniques and methods for developing and substantiating forecasts
*System of economic indicators for planning
22. The main indicator characterizing the potential for economic development is?
*GDP or GNP
*Composition and share of sectors of the national economy
*Population life expectancy
*Labor productivity
23. Is the sectoral structure of developed countries characterized?
* Increasing the share of agriculture and forestry
*Increase in the share of extractive industries
*Increase in the share of heavy industry
* Increasing the share of the service sector
24. Is the subject of study of the discipline macroeconomic planning and forecasting?
*A set of macroeconomic indicators
*A set of methods for planning and forecasting macroeconomic indicators
*Macroeconomics
*Federal ministries and departments making plans and forecasts